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May 2012
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The Cruel Math of the Marginal Barrel

Long but good read about oil production and price. Who really has the power of pricing?

There’s been a lot of excitement in the past year over the rise of North American oil production and the promise of increased oil production across the whole of the Americas in the years to come. National security experts and other geo-political observers have waxed poetic at the thought of this emerging, hemispheric strength in energy supply.

What’s less discussed, however, is the negligible effect this supply swing is having on lowering the price of oil, due to the fact that, combined with OPEC production, aggregate global production remains mostly flat.

But there’s another component to this new belief in the changing global landscape for oil:

“And Now the Rest of the Story – “The Cruel Math of the Marginal Barrel